Luciano Floridi poses the problem of second-order probabilities:

(…) we actually lack a theory of second order probability, let alone a philosophical justification for it.

By second order, he means “probabilities about probabilisties”.

I beg to differ with Luciano. What about this reference?

Gaifman, H. 1986. A theory of higher order probabilities. In Proceedings of the 1986 Conference on theoretical Aspects of Reasoning About Knowledge

1 Comment »

  1. A brief description of several similar approaches is also in:

    P. Wang. Confidence as higher-order uncertainty. In Proceedings of the Second International Symposium on Imprecise Probabilities and Their Applications, pages 352–361, 2001.

    Comment by MartinZ — 10/7/2006 @ 8:29

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