http://lemire.me/blog/archives/2008/04/07/the-upcoming-genetic-divide/ Computer Scientist and Open Scholar: Databases, Information Retrieval, Business Intelligence. Tue, 07 Feb 2012 23:39:16 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 http://lemire.me/blog/archives/2008/04/07/the-upcoming-genetic-divide/comment-page-1/#comment-49855 Kevembuangga Wed, 09 Apr 2008 17:50:12 +0000 http://www.daniel-lemire.com/blog/archives/2008/04/07/the-upcoming-genetic-divide/#comment-49855 There is a basic contradiction in all the chatter going on about the "Singularity", if it is truly to fit its definition <b>no predictions</b> can be made about its results. Yet the afficionados like Kurzweil <a href="http://www.wired.com/medtech/drugs/magazine/16-04/ff_kurzweil?currentPage=all" rel="nofollow">keep blathering</a> about it. It is much more likely than anything <i>exponential</i> within a <i>bounded</i> context will result in some sort of crash than in any "transcendence". And as it has been highlighted by Ross Ashby and Gordon Pask building up complexity requires <b>slowly</b> evolving parameters from the environment, thus any abrupt changes are likely to <b>destroy</b> complexity rather than enhance it. Evolution took billions years for some reason... There is a basic contradiction in all the chatter going on about the “Singularity”, if it is truly to fit its definition no predictions can be made about its results.
Yet the afficionados like Kurzweil keep blathering about it.
It is much more likely than anything exponential within a bounded context will result in some sort of crash than in any “transcendence”.
And as it has been highlighted by Ross Ashby and Gordon Pask building up complexity requires slowly evolving parameters from the environment, thus any abrupt changes are likely to destroy complexity rather than enhance it.
Evolution took billions years for some reason…

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